This post was co-authored with Andy Eggers (Nuffield College, Oxford)
Will Theresa May’s Brexit deal win the support of Parliament? A view is emerging in Westminster that May’s EU withdrawal plan will succeed in the same way that TARP (the Troubled Asset Relief Program) cleared the U.S. Congress in September of 2008: an initial rejection is followed by a stock market crash, which concentrates legislators’ minds and clears the way for successful passage.
What follows is an abstract for a paper that I do not have time to write, but which I think would be a useful contribution to the literature, assuming what follows is actually true. Please feel free to do the actual research to find out. Let me know!
Conjoint experiments have experienced explosive growth in political science. The standard methodology for analysing them in political science involves using linear regression methods to estimate Average Marginal Component Effects (AMCEs, Hainmueller, Hopkins & Yamamoto 2014).
The summer is a great time for catching up on research, or for frittering away time on inessential infrastructure projects. After updating my RMarkdown templates for presentations and papers, I have just spent a few days migrating my website off of Wordpress onto Hugo. Hugo is a static site generator, which means that all the content management happens on my computer, and all that gets uploaded to my site are a collection of static pages.
I am a Professor and Head of Department of Political Science at University College London. My research is focused on the development of new methods for the measurement of political preferences and beliefs from survey, voting, network and text data. Currently my work is focused on public opinion and political behaviour in the UK, but my previous research has considered applications to citizens, legislators and judges across the US, UK, EU and beyond.
I have been a Senior Data Science Advisor to YouGov since 2016 and was previously an Associate Editor of the American Political Science Review (2016-2020). I worked at the London School of Economics from 2011 to 2018.