I am currently a Professor of Social Research Methods at the London School of Economics and Political Science. From January 2019, I will be a Professor of Political Science at University College London. I am currently also an Associate Editor of the American Political Science Review (2016-2020) and a Senior Data Science Advisor to YouGov. My research is focused on the measurement of political preferences from survey, voting, network and text data. Applications of these methods have included citizens, legislators and judges in the US, UK and EU.

Curriculum Vitae pdf


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Recent Blog Posts


What follows is an abstract for a paper that I do not have time to write, but which I think would be a useful contribution to the literature, assuming what follows is actually true. Please feel free to do the actual research to find out. Let me know! Conjoint experiments have experienced explosive growth in political science. The standard methodology for analysing them in political science involves using linear regression methods to estimate Average Marginal Component Effects (AMCEs, Hainmueller, Hopkins & Yamamoto 2014).

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New Website

26 July 2017

The summer is a great time for catching up on research, or for frittering away time on inessential infrastructure projects. After updating my RMarkdown templates for presentations and papers, I have just spent a few days migrating my website off of Wordpress onto Hugo. Hugo is a static site generator, which means that all the content management happens on my computer, and all that gets uploaded to my site are a collection of static pages.

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Recent Papers

  • “Decomposing Public Opinion Variation into Ideology, Idiosyncrasy and Instability”, Journal of Politics Abstract  pdf  journal
  • “Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste”, Journal of Politics Abstract  pdf  journal
  • “Model-Based Pre-Election Polling for National and Sub-National Outcomes in the US and UK” Abstract  pdf
  • “An assessment of the causes of the errors in the 2015 UK general election opinion polls”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A Abstract  journal
  • “Submission to House of Lords Select Committee on Political Polling and Digital Media” Abstract  journal